Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044680 0.048705 0.052792 0.057246 0.061956 0.066782 0.072094
2024-12-29 0.038624 0.044535 0.050765 0.057794 0.065475 0.073589 0.082781
2025-01-05 0.033956 0.041217 0.049130 0.058332 0.068674 0.079879 0.092875
2025-01-12 0.029549 0.037685 0.046837 0.057780 0.070394 0.084369 0.100911
2025-01-19 0.026728 0.035646 0.045964 0.058605 0.073493 0.090299 0.110527
2025-01-26 0.023676 0.033025 0.044150 0.058104 0.074879 0.094147 0.117700
2025-02-02 0.021466 0.031218 0.043123 0.058374 0.077042 0.098813 0.125777
2025-02-09 0.019956 0.030142 0.042867 0.059474 0.080123 0.104517 0.135071
2025-02-16 0.019226 0.029995 0.043712 0.061894 0.084794 0.112134 0.146686
2025-02-23 0.016710 0.027270 0.041084 0.059783 0.083739 0.112739 0.149818
2025-03-02 0.015037 0.025560 0.039660 0.059099 0.084373 0.115332 0.155310
2025-03-09 0.013641 0.024129 0.038509 0.058681 0.085273 0.118205 0.161117
2025-03-16 0.013173 0.024038 0.039204 0.060764 0.089480 0.125336 0.172372
2025-03-23 0.012386 0.023415 0.039122 0.061779 0.092305 0.130758 0.181569
2025-03-30 0.011601 0.022733 0.038909 0.062587 0.094845 0.135832 0.190372
2025-04-06 0.010518 0.021498 0.037831 0.062138 0.095675 0.138700 0.196397
2025-04-13 0.009914 0.020983 0.037766 0.063079 0.098355 0.143956 0.205482
2025-04-20 0.008989 0.019860 0.036732 0.062590 0.099058 0.146623 0.211259
2025-04-27 0.008340 0.019151 0.036277 0.062895 0.100822 0.150670 0.218819
2025-05-04 0.007948 0.018854 0.036430 0.064066 0.103774 0.156288 0.228432
2025-05-11 0.007893 0.019153 0.037517 0.066621 0.108677 0.164531 0.241516
2025-05-18 0.006820 0.017502 0.035436 0.064401 0.106828 0.163736 0.242782
2025-05-25 0.006147 0.016532 0.034392 0.063682 0.107055 0.165690 0.247634